Alex Rivera was thrilled. His fintech MVP had 4,287 signups in its first month—a 340% increase from his projections.
Eight weeks later, he had 47 daily active users. His churn rate was 23% per month. And his runway was down to 11 months.
"I was celebrating signups while my product was failing," Alex told us. "Those 4,287 signups meant nothing because 97% of them never came back. I was tracking the wrong metrics."
Today, Alex tracks 8 core metrics every single day. His retention is up to 41%, his churn is down to 4%, and he just closed his Series A.
This guide covers the 12 metrics that actually predict startup success—not the vanity numbers that feel good but don't tell you anything.
Most founders track the wrong ones.
They obsess over signups, page views, and "growth." They celebrate 100 new users while 90% of existing ones never return.
Smart founders? They track metrics that predict success, not vanity numbers.
This guide shows you the 12 metrics that actually matter for your MVP—and how to measure them from day one.
The Problem with Vanity Metrics
Let's clear this up immediately.
Vanity Metrics (Don't Track These):
- Total signups / registrations
- Page views / impressions
- Social media followers
- App store downloads
- Total revenue (without context)
- Time spent in app
- Feature usage percentage (in isolation)
Actionable Metrics (Track These):
- Activation rate
- Retention rate (Day 1, 7, 30, 90)
- Churn rate
- Customer acquisition cost (CAC)
- Lifetime value (LTV)
- NPS / satisfaction score
- Time to value (TTV)
- Viral coefficient (k-factor)
- Revenue per user
- Support tickets per user
- Feature adoption by cohort
- Funnel conversion rates
The Difference: Vanity metrics make you feel good. Actionable metrics tell you what to do.
Metric #1: Activation Rate
Definition: Percentage of users who take your most valuable action after signup.
Why It Matters:
If users don't activate, they'll never return. It's your first opportunity to deliver value.
How to Calculate:
Activation Rate = (Users Who Complete Core Action / Total Signups) × 100
What's "Good" for MVP:
- Excellent: 50%+
- Good: 40-50%
- Needs Work: 30-40%
- Critical: <30%
Example:
If 100 people sign up and 40 complete your core action (e.g., complete first project, upload first file), your activation rate is 40%.
How to Improve:
- Simplify onboarding (fewer steps)
- Remove friction (optional fields, payment walls)
- Add guidance (tours, tooltips, walkthroughs)
- Show value immediately (don't hide core features)
- Email new users with next steps
Metric #2: Retention Rate
Definition: Percentage of users who continue using your product over time.
Why It Matters:
Retention is the strongest predictor of long-term success. You can't scale a leaky bucket.
How to Calculate:
Retention Rate = (Users Active at Time T / Users Active at Time 0) × 100
Track Multiple Timeframes:
- Day 1 Retention: Did users come back next day?
- Day 7 Retention: One-week retention
- Day 30 Retention: One-month retention
- Day 90 Retention: Three-month retention
What's "Good" for MVP:
Retention | Excellent | Good | Needs Work | Critical |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | 70%+ | 50-70% | 30-50% | <30% |
Day 30 | 30%+ | 20-30% | 10-20% | <10% |
Day 90 | 15%+ | 10-15% | 5-10% | <5% |
How to Improve:
- Understand why users leave (exit surveys, churn analysis)
- Improve core value delivery (make it faster, easier)
- Add engagement features (notifications, reminders)
- Build habits (daily streaks, goals, progress)
- Fix pain points (bugs, confusing UX, slow performance)
Metric #3: Churn Rate
Definition: Percentage of customers who stop paying or using your product.
Why It Matters:
Churn kills revenue and growth. High churn means you're building a leaky bucket.
How to Calculate:
Monthly Churn Rate = (Customers Lost This Month / Customers at Start of Month) × 100
What's "Good" for MVP:
- Excellent: <2% monthly
- Good: 2-5% monthly
- Needs Work: 5-10% monthly
- Critical: >10% monthly
Annual Churn Target:
For B2B SaaS, aim for <5-10% annual churn (equivalent to <0.5-1% monthly).
How to Improve:
- Improve onboarding (users who activate, stick)
- Add value over time (new features, better UX)
- Proactive support (reach out before they leave)
- Win-back campaigns (offers, surveys, improvements)
- Address root causes (product gaps, poor support, pricing)
Metric #4: Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC)
Definition: How much you spend to acquire one customer.
Why It Matters:
If CAC exceeds what customers pay, you'll never be profitable. It's your efficiency metric.
How to Calculate:
CAC = Total Marketing & Sales Spend / Number of New Customers
Include in Spend:
- Ad spend (Google Ads, Facebook, LinkedIn)
- Content creation costs
- Sales team salaries and tools
- Agency or consultant fees
- Software and tools for marketing
CAC Payback Period:
How long it takes to recover CAC:
CAC Payback = CAC / (Revenue per Customer per Month)
What's "Good" for MVP:
- Excellent: CAC < LTV / 3
- Good: CAC < LTV / 2
- Needs Work: CAC ≈ LTV
- Critical: CAC > LTV
Target by Business Model:
- B2B SaaS: Payback in <12 months
- B2C SaaS: Payback in <6 months
- Marketplace: Payback in <3 months
- E-commerce: Payback in <1 month
How to Improve:
- Improve targeting (better ad audiences, content)
- Optimize funnels (higher conversion rates)
- Increase organic growth (content, SEO, referrals)
- Improve word-of-mouth (NPS, referrals)
- Increase lifetime value (upgrades, upsells)
Metric #5: Lifetime Value (LTV)
Definition: Total revenue you expect from a single customer.
Why It Matters:
LTV tells you how much you can spend to acquire customers. Higher LTV = higher CAC tolerance.
How to Calculate:
LTV = (Average Revenue per User per Month × Average Customer Lifetime in Months)
Simple LTV Formula (for startups with limited data):
LTV = (Average Monthly Revenue per Customer) × (1 / Monthly Churn Rate)
Example:
If your customers pay $50/month and churn is 5% monthly:
LTV = $50 × (1 / 0.05) = $50 × 20 = $1,000
What's "Good" for MVP:
- B2B SaaS: $1,000-10,000+ LTV
- B2C SaaS: $100-1,000 LTV
- Marketplace: $50-500 LTV
- E-commerce: $100-1,000 LTV
LTV:CAC Ratio:
LTV:CAC = Lifetime Value / Customer Acquisition Cost
Target: 3:1 or higher (meaning you earn $3 for every $1 spent on acquisition)
How to Improve:
- Increase pricing (higher revenue per customer)
- Reduce churn (longer customer lifetime)
- Add upsell and cross-sell opportunities
- Improve product value (more usage, more value)
- Build loyalty and stickiness (switching costs, integrations)
Metric #6: Net Promoter Score (NPS)
Definition: Measure of customer loyalty and satisfaction.
How to Calculate:
Ask users: "How likely are you to recommend [product] to a friend or colleague?" (0-10 scale)
NPS = % of Promoters (9-10) - % of Detractors (0-6)
Score Ranges:
- 0-6: Detractors (unhappy)
- 7-8: Passives (satisfied but not enthusiastic)
- 9-10: Promoters (loyal, enthusiastic)
What's "Good" for MVP:
- Excellent: 50+ (industry leaders)
- Good: 30-50 (above average)
- Needs Work: 0-30 (average)
- Critical: <0 (below average)
How to Improve:
- Improve core product value (solve better problems)
- Fix pain points and bugs quickly
- Deliver exceptional customer support
- Build community and connection
- Ask and act on feedback
Metric #7: Time to Value (TTV)
Definition: How long it takes for new users to experience your product's core value.
Why It Matters:
Users won't stick around if they don't see value quickly. TTV directly impacts retention.
How to Measure:
Track time from signup to first valuable action:
- First purchase
- First project completion
- First file upload
- First meaningful interaction
- First "aha!" moment
What's "Good" for MVP:
- Excellent: <5 minutes
- Good: 5-15 minutes
- Needs Work: 15-30 minutes
- Critical: >30 minutes
How to Improve:
- Simplify onboarding (fewer steps, faster setup)
- Remove barriers (no credit card required initially)
- Add guidance (tours, tooltips, examples)
- Use templates and presets (get to value faster)
- Make core action obvious and accessible
Metric #8: Viral Coefficient (k-factor)
Definition: How many new users each existing user brings to your product.
Why It Matters:
If k-factor > 1, your product grows virally. If < 1, you need paid or organic growth.
How to Calculate:
k-factor = (Number of Invites per User) × (Conversion Rate of Invites)
Example:
If each user invites 2 friends and 20% convert:
k-factor = 2 × 0.20 = 0.40
What's "Good" for MVP:
- Excellent: >1.0 (viral growth)
- Good: 0.5-1.0 (strong word-of-mouth)
- Needs Work: 0.2-0.5 (moderate)
- Critical: <0.2 (little organic growth)
How to Improve:
- Make sharing valuable (benefit both users)
- Make sharing easy (one-click sharing)
- Add incentives (referral programs, discounts)
- Build social proof (testimonials, user counts)
- Create shareable moments (achievements, results)
Metric #9: Revenue per User
Definition: Average revenue generated per user per month.
Why It Matters:
Revenue per user tells you if your pricing is right and if you're monetizing effectively.
How to Calculate:
Revenue per User = (Total Monthly Revenue / Total Monthly Active Users)
What's "Good" for MVP:
- B2B SaaS: $50-500+/month
- B2C SaaS: $10-100/month
- Marketplace: $5-50/month
- Freemium: $1-20/month (paying users only)
How to Improve:
- Optimize pricing tiers (test different price points)
- Add premium features (upgrade paths)
- Reduce free tier limits (encourage upgrades)
- Improve sales and conversion (better funnels)
- Target higher-value customers (niche, enterprise)
Metric #10: Support Tickets per User
Definition: Number of support requests divided by active users.
Why It Matters:
High support tickets = product issues, poor UX, or unclear communication. It directly impacts costs and user satisfaction.
How to Calculate:
Support Tickets per User = (Monthly Support Tickets / Monthly Active Users)
What's "Good" for MVP:
- Excellent: <0.1 tickets/user
- Good: 0.1-0.3 tickets/user
- Needs Work: 0.3-0.5 tickets/user
- Critical: >0.5 tickets/user
How to Improve:
- Fix common issues (reduce root causes)
- Improve documentation and help center
- Add in-app guidance (tooltips, tutorials)
- Clarify messaging (reduce confusion)
- Add self-service options (FAQs, knowledge base)
Metric #11: Feature Adoption by Cohort
Definition: Which features different user groups use and how often.
Why It Matters:
Feature adoption tells you what's working, what's not, and where to invest development resources.
How to Track:
- Group users by signup month (cohort analysis)
- Track feature usage for each cohort
- Compare adoption rates between cohorts
- Identify power user behaviors
What to Look For:
- High adoption, high value: Invest and expand
- High adoption, low value: Improve or remove
- Low adoption, high value: Improve discovery and UX
- Low adoption, low value: Remove or deprecate
How to Improve:
- Make valuable features more discoverable
- Improve onboarding for complex features
- Add guidance and education (tutorials, webinars)
- Simplify feature interfaces
- Test feature removal (does anyone care?)
Metric #12: Funnel Conversion Rates
Definition: Percentage of users who move from one stage to the next in your user journey.
Why It Matters:
Funnels identify drop-off points and show where to focus improvements.
Common Funnel Stages:
- Awareness: Visit landing page
- Interest: Click signup button
- Signup: Complete registration
- Activation: Complete first valuable action
- Engagement: Use product regularly
- Retention: Continue using over time
- Monetization: Convert to paying customer
Target Conversion Rates by Stage:
- Awareness → Interest: 10-30%
- Interest → Signup: 20-50%
- Signup → Activation: 30-60%
- Activation → Engagement: 40-70%
- Engagement → Retention: 50-80%
- Retention → Monetization: 10-40%
How to Improve:
- Identify biggest drop-off stages
- Test messaging and copy
- Improve UX and flow
- Reduce friction (fewer steps, faster process)
- Add motivation (urgency, social proof, benefits)
MVP Metrics Dashboard: What to Track When
Week 1-4 (Alpha Testing):
- Activation rate
- Time to value
- Bug reports per user
- Feature usage (basic)
Week 5-8 (Beta Testing):
- Day 1, 7 retention
- Weekly active users
- Feature adoption by cohort
- Support tickets per user
- NPS score
Week 9-12 (Closed Beta):
- Day 30 retention
- Monthly churn rate
- CAC (if spending on acquisition)
- Revenue per user
- Funnel conversion rates
Month 4+ (Launch & Scale):
- Day 90 retention
- LTV and LTV:CAC ratio
- Viral coefficient
- Monthly recurring revenue (MRR)
- Annual recurring revenue (ARR)
Common Metric Mistakes
1. Tracking Too Many Metrics
Mistake: "Let's track everything!"
Reality: Analysis paralysis. You can't improve everything.
Fix: Start with 3-5 core metrics and expand as you learn.
2. Not Defining "Good" Before You Track
Mistake: Tracking metrics without targets.
Reality: Data without context is meaningless.
Fix: Define "good," "needs work," and "critical" thresholds for each metric.
3. Comparing Across Categories
Mistake: "Our retention is 20%, is that good?"
Reality: Good varies by category, business model, and stage.
Fix: Benchmark against similar products, not everyone.
4. Not Segmenting Users
Mistake: "Our overall retention is 30%."
Reality: Retention might be 60% for power users and 10% for casuals.
Fix: Segment by user type, acquisition channel, cohort, and behavior.
5. Changing Definitions Over Time
Mistake: "Retention changed from 30% to 40%!"
Reality: You changed how you calculate retention, not actual performance.
Fix: Keep metric definitions consistent. Track both old and new definitions if changing.
Related Reading
If you found this helpful, you might also enjoy:
- What Makes a Good MVP? - MVP characteristics
- How Long Should Your MVP Take? - Timeline expectations
- First 100 Users: The Complete Guide to Your Beta Launch - What to track and when
- How to Validate Your Startup Idea - Before you build
- How Tech Consulting Saves Startups Time - Get help faster
Need Help Setting Up Your MVP Metrics?
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Whether you need:
- Analytics and monitoring setup
- Dashboard design and implementation
- Metric interpretation and action planning
- Growth strategy based on data
Let's talk about tracking metrics that predict success.
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